Sunday, 18 June 2017

A return to to party system will be a disaster for devolution.

Could it be that Theresa May has some how saved the Union by bringing the UK back to a two Party state ?

The Result of the 2017 General election saw Labour and the Tories sharing 82..% of the vote between them
PartyLeaderMPsVotes
Of total±Of total±
Conservative PartyTheresa May31748.8%
317 / 650
Decrease1313,632,91442.3%
Increase5.4
Labour PartyJeremy Corbyn26240.3%
262 / 650
Increase3012,874,98540.0%
Increase9.5
Scottish National PartyNicola Sturgeon355.4%
35 / 650
Decrease21977,5693.0%
Decrease1.7
Liberal DemocratsTim Farron121.8%
12 / 650
Increase42,371,7727.4%
Decrease0.5
Democratic Unionist PartyArlene Foster101.5%
10 / 650
Increase2292,3160.9%
Increase0.3
Sinn FéinGerry Adams71.1%
7 / 650
Increase3238,9150.7%
Increase0.2
Plaid CymruLeanne Wood40.6%
4 / 650
Increase1164,4660.5%
Decrease0.1
Green PartyJonathan Bartley
Caroline Lucas
10.2%
1 / 650
Steady525,3711.6%
Decrease2.1
SpeakerJohn Bercow10.2%
1 / 650
Steady34,2990.1%
Steady
Independent UnionistSylvia Hermon10.2%
1 / 650
Steady16,1480.1%
Steady
UK Independence PartyPaul Nuttall00.0%
0 / 650
Decrease1593,8521.8%
Decrease10.8
Social Democratic & Labour PartyColum Eastwood00.0%
0 / 650
Decrease395,4190.3%
Steady
Ulster Unionist PartyRobin Swann00.0%
0 / 650
Decrease283,2800.3%
Decrease0.1
Alliance Party of Northern IrelandNaomi Long00.0%
0 / 650
Steady64,5530.


The Previous 2015 contest had seen them take 74.4 of the vote.

PartyLeaderMPsVotes
Of totalOf total
Conservative PartyDavid Cameron33050.8%
330 / 650
11,299,60936.8%
Labour PartyEd Miliband23235.7%
232 / 650
8,473,89427.6%
Scottish National PartyNicola Sturgeon568.6%
56 / 650
1,454,4364.7%
Liberal DemocratsNick Clegg81.2%
8 / 650
2,415,9167.9%
Democratic Unionist PartyPeter Robinson81.2%
8 / 650
184,2600.6%
Sinn FéinGerry Adams40.6%
4 / 650
176,2320.6%
Plaid CymruLeanne Wood30.5%
3 / 650
181,7040.6%
Social Democratic & Labour PartyAlasdair McDonnell30.5%
3 / 650
99,8090.3%
Ulster Unionist PartyMike Nesbitt20.3%
2 / 650
114,9350.4%
UK Independence PartyNigel Farage10.2%
1 / 650
3,881,09912.6%
Green PartyNatalie Bennett10.2%
1 / 650
1,157,6303.8%
SpeakerJohn Bercow10.2%
1 / 650
34,6170.1%[177]
Independent UnionistSylvia Hermon10.2%
1 / 650
17,6890.06%[178]
Even under the Blair land slide the two main Parties only received 73.9 % of the vote.



CandidatesVotes
PartyLeaderStandingElectedGainedUnseatedNet % of total %No.Net %
LabourTony Blair6394181450+14563.443.213,518,167+8.8
ConservativeJohn Major6481650178–17825.030.79,600,943–11.2
Liberal DemocratPaddy Ashdown63946302+287.016.85,242,947–1.0
ReferendumJames Goldsmith54700002.6811,849N/A
SNPAlex Salmond72630+30.92.0621,550+0.1
UUPDavid Trimble161010+11.50.8258,3490.0
SDLPJohn Hume18301–10.50.6190,814+0.1
Plaid CymruDafydd Wigley4040000.60.5161,0300.0
Sinn FéinGerry Adams17220+20.30.4126,9210.0
DUPIan Paisley9201–10.30.3107,3480.0
UKIPAlan Sked19300000.3105,722N/A
IndependentN/A25110+10.20.164,4820.0
GreenPeg Alexander and David Taylor8900000.361,731–0.2
AllianceJohn Alderdice1700000.262,9720.0

Much of this is due to the demise of the LIB Dem who no longer seem a home for disgruntled Tory or Labour voters to go to.


With many of the SNP seats now marginals a two party presidential contest should be of concern as a continuation of the Corbyn rise in support would threaten both the SNP and Plaid Cymru.


For those who argue for a Progressive Alliance should be concerned . Neither Corbyn or his Parliamentary Party who are currently hypocritically praising him are progressives . when it comes to voting reform or devolution.

Indeed  Labour may well be considering closing down any further devolution as they once again turn to Westminster solutions for everything.

That will necessitate destroying the SNP in Scotland even to the extent in allowing  the Tories to be the temporally vanguard of Unionism as they did in June's poll.

If there is a election in the Autumn in Scotland and Wales we could  wake up on the Morning after the poll to find Corbyn as Prime Minister the  and the Nationalist Parties all but wiped out.

Despite years of experience It will see Corbyn taking a Westminster Centralist   approach , which will once again not solve our problems,



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